Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size
Probability and Statistics · FE Reference Handbook section
Handbook notes for this section
Definitions and conditions exactly as the handbook states them.
- Confidence Interval for the Mean µ of a Normal Distribution
- (B) Standard deviation v is not known
- Engineering Probability and Statistics
- Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Means µ1 and µ2
Core formulas for this FE topic
Definitions, applicability, units, assumptions and worked examples for each relation.
Worked exam-style examples
The four ways this section is written on the real exam — thoughts first, then equations, then substitution.
Nine field density tests give x̄ = 121.4 pcf with s = 3.6 pcf. Construct the 95% confidence interval on the mean (t₀.₀₂₅,₈ = 2.306).
Given
Find
95% CI on μ
Start with the thinking
- σ is unknown and n is small — use t, not z.
- Degrees of freedom are n − 1 = 8.
Step-by-step solution
Standard error — SE = s/√n = 3.6/√9 = 1.20 pcf
Margin
Lower limit
Upper limit
Interval — 118.6 pcf ≤ μ ≤ 124.2 pcf
118.6 to 124.2 pcf
Why the other options are there
- 119.1 to 123.7 (z = 1.96 used)
- 114.1 to 128.7 (√n omitted)
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics — Confidence intervals
A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 2,110 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 560.0 psi; value (x) = 2,170 psi, determine the z-score (z).
Given
Find
z-score (z)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
- Everything except z is given, so isolate z symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that z stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning z = 0.1071 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 0.2143 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 0.0536 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 0.1179 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size
A probability and statistics problem uses Confidence interval margin. Given z critical value (z) = 1.4300; std deviation (sigma) = 0.5500 in; sample size (n) = 93.0000, determine the margin of error (E) in in.
Given
Find
margin of error (E), in in
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Confidence interval margin.
- Everything except E is given, so isolate E symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that E stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3 — List the givens: z critical value (z) = 1.4300, std deviation (sigma) = 0.5500 in, sample size (n) = 93.0000.
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning E = 0.0816 in to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 0.1631 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 0.0408 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 0.0897 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size
A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 2,160 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 250.0 psi; z-score (z) = 1.6400, determine the value (x) in psi.
Given
Find
value (x), in psi
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
- Everything except x is given, so isolate x symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that x stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning x = 2,570 psi to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 5,140 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 1,285 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 2,827 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size
A probability and statistics problem uses Confidence interval margin. Given z critical value (z) = 1.8600; sample size (n) = 84.0000; margin of error (E) = 0.0590 in, determine the std deviation (sigma) in in.
Given
Find
std deviation (sigma), in in
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Confidence interval margin.
- Everything except sigma is given, so isolate sigma symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that sigma stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3 — List the givens: z critical value (z) = 1.8600, sample size (n) = 84.0000, margin of error (E) = 0.0590 in.
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning sigma = 0.2907 in to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 0.5814 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 0.1454 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 0.3198 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size
A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given std deviation (sigma) = 330.0 psi; value (x) = 5,450 psi; z-score (z) = -0.9000, determine the mean (mu) in psi.
Given
Find
mean (mu), in psi
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
- Everything except mu is given, so isolate mu symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that mu stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning mu = 5,747 psi to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 11,494 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 2,874 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 6,322 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size
A probability and statistics problem uses Confidence interval margin. Given z critical value (z) = 2.0300; std deviation (sigma) = 0.9500 in; margin of error (E) = 0.9130 in, determine the sample size (n).
Given
Find
sample size (n)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Confidence interval margin.
- Everything except n is given, so isolate n symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that n stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3 — List the givens: z critical value (z) = 2.0300, std deviation (sigma) = 0.9500 in, margin of error (E) = 0.9130 in.
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning n = 4.4617 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 8.9233 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 2.2308 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 4.9078 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size
A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 3,870 psi; value (x) = 6,760 psi; z-score (z) = -2.3400, determine the std deviation (sigma) in psi.
Given
Find
std deviation (sigma), in psi
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
- Everything except sigma is given, so isolate sigma symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that sigma stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning sigma = -1,235 psi to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- -2,470 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- -617.5 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- -1,359 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size
A probability and statistics problem uses Confidence interval margin. Given std deviation (sigma) = 1.2000 in; sample size (n) = 61.0000; margin of error (E) = 0.8830 in, determine the z critical value (z).
Given
Find
z critical value (z)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Confidence interval margin.
- Everything except z is given, so isolate z symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that z stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3 — List the givens: std deviation (sigma) = 1.2000 in, sample size (n) = 61.0000, margin of error (E) = 0.8830 in.
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning z = 5.7470 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 11.4941 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 2.8735 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 6.3217 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size
A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 2,500 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 510.0 psi; value (x) = 6,490 psi, determine the z-score (z).
Given
Find
z-score (z)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
- Everything except z is given, so isolate z symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that z stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning z = 7.8235 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 15.6471 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 3.9118 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 8.6059 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size