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Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

Probability and Statistics · FE Reference Handbook section

Probability and Statistics
1 formulas
10 exam-style examples
~47 min
All Probability and Statistics lectures

Handbook notes for this section

Definitions and conditions exactly as the handbook states them.

  • Confidence Interval for the Mean µ of a Normal Distribution
  • (B) Standard deviation v is not known
  • Engineering Probability and Statistics
  • Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Means µ1 and µ2

Core formulas for this FE topic

Definitions, applicability, units, assumptions and worked examples for each relation.

Worked exam-style examples

The four ways this section is written on the real exam — thoughts first, then equations, then substitution.

Example 1
95% confidence interval on mean density

Nine field density tests give x̄ = 121.4 pcf with s = 3.6 pcf. Construct the 95% confidence interval on the mean (t₀.₀₂₅,₈ = 2.306).

Given

  • n=9n = 9
  • xˉ=121.4pcfx̄ = 121.4 pcf
  • s=3.6pcfs = 3.6 pcf
  • t=2.306t = 2.306

Find

95% CI on μ

Start with the thinking

  • σ is unknown and n is small — use t, not z.
  • Degrees of freedom are n − 1 = 8.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Standard error — SE = s/√n = 3.6/√9 = 1.20 pcf

  2. Margin

    E=t⋅SE=2.306(1.20)=2.77pcfE = t \cdot SE = 2.306(1.20) = 2.77 pcf
  3. Lower limit

    121.4−2.77=118.6pcf121.4 - 2.77 = 118.6 pcf
  4. Upper limit

    121.4+2.77=124.2pcf121.4 + 2.77 = 124.2 pcf
  5. Interval — 118.6 pcf ≤ μ ≤ 124.2 pcf

Answer:

118.6 to 124.2 pcf

Why the other options are there

  • 119.1 to 123.7 (z = 1.96 used)
  • 114.1 to 128.7 (√n omitted)

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics — Confidence intervals

Example 2
z-score — solve for z-score — Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 2,110 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 560.0 psi; value (x) = 2,170 psi, determine the z-score (z).

Given

  • mean(mu)=2,110psimean (mu) = 2,110 psi
  • stddeviation(sigma)=560.0psistd deviation (sigma) = 560.0 psi
  • value(x)=2,170psivalue (x) = 2,170 psi

Find

z-score (z)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
  • Everything except z is given, so isolate z symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that z stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:mean(mu)=2,110psi,stddeviation(sigma)=560.0psi,value(x)=2,170psiList the givens: mean (mu) = 2,110 psi, std deviation (sigma) = 560.0 psi, value (x) = 2,170 psi
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    z=0.1071z = 0.1071
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning z = 0.1071 to

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
z=0.1071z = 0.1071

Why the other options are there

  • 0.2143 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 0.0536 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 0.1179 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

Example 3
Confidence interval margin — solve for margin of error — Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size (2)

A probability and statistics problem uses Confidence interval margin. Given z critical value (z) = 1.4300; std deviation (sigma) = 0.5500 in; sample size (n) = 93.0000, determine the margin of error (E) in in.

Given

  • zcriticalvalue(z)=1.4300z critical value (z) = 1.4300
  • stddeviation(sigma)=0.5500instd deviation (sigma) = 0.5500 in
  • samplesize(n)=93.0000sample size (n) = 93.0000

Find

margin of error (E), in in

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Confidence interval margin.
  • Everything except E is given, so isolate E symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    E=zσ/nE = z \sigma / \sqrt{n}
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that E stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3 — List the givens: z critical value (z) = 1.4300, std deviation (sigma) = 0.5500 in, sample size (n) = 93.0000.

  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    E=0.0816 inE = 0.0816\ \text{in}
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning E = 0.0816 in to

    E=zσ/nE = z \sigma / \sqrt{n}

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
E=0.0816 inE = 0.0816\ \text{in}

Why the other options are there

  • 0.1631 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 0.0408 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 0.0897 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

Example 4
z-score — solve for value — Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size (3)

A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 2,160 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 250.0 psi; z-score (z) = 1.6400, determine the value (x) in psi.

Given

  • mean(mu)=2,160psimean (mu) = 2,160 psi
  • stddeviation(sigma)=250.0psistd deviation (sigma) = 250.0 psi
  • z−score(z)=1.6400z-score (z) = 1.6400

Find

value (x), in psi

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
  • Everything except x is given, so isolate x symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that x stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:mean(mu)=2,160psi,stddeviation(sigma)=250.0psi,z−score(z)=1.6400List the givens: mean (mu) = 2,160 psi, std deviation (sigma) = 250.0 psi, z-score (z) = 1.6400
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    x=2570 psix = 2570\ \text{psi}
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning x = 2,570 psi to

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
x=2570 psix = 2570\ \text{psi}

Why the other options are there

  • 5,140 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 1,285 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 2,827 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

Example 5
Confidence interval margin — solve for std deviation — Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size (4)

A probability and statistics problem uses Confidence interval margin. Given z critical value (z) = 1.8600; sample size (n) = 84.0000; margin of error (E) = 0.0590 in, determine the std deviation (sigma) in in.

Given

  • zcriticalvalue(z)=1.8600z critical value (z) = 1.8600
  • samplesize(n)=84.0000sample size (n) = 84.0000
  • marginoferror(E)=0.0590inmargin of error (E) = 0.0590 in

Find

std deviation (sigma), in in

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Confidence interval margin.
  • Everything except sigma is given, so isolate sigma symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    E=zσ/nE = z \sigma / \sqrt{n}
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that sigma stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3 — List the givens: z critical value (z) = 1.8600, sample size (n) = 84.0000, margin of error (E) = 0.0590 in.

  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    σ=0.2907 in\sigma = 0.2907\ \text{in}
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning sigma = 0.2907 in to

    E=zσ/nE = z \sigma / \sqrt{n}

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
σ=0.2907 in\sigma = 0.2907\ \text{in}

Why the other options are there

  • 0.5814 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 0.1454 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 0.3198 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

Example 6
z-score — solve for mean — Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size (5)

A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given std deviation (sigma) = 330.0 psi; value (x) = 5,450 psi; z-score (z) = -0.9000, determine the mean (mu) in psi.

Given

  • stddeviation(sigma)=330.0psistd deviation (sigma) = 330.0 psi
  • value(x)=5,450psivalue (x) = 5,450 psi
  • z−score(z)=−0.9000z-score (z) = -0.9000

Find

mean (mu), in psi

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
  • Everything except mu is given, so isolate mu symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that mu stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:stddeviation(sigma)=330.0psi,value(x)=5,450psi,z−score(z)=−0.9000List the givens: std deviation (sigma) = 330.0 psi, value (x) = 5,450 psi, z-score (z) = -0.9000
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    μ=5747 psi\mu = 5747\ \text{psi}
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning mu = 5,747 psi to

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
μ=5747 psi\mu = 5747\ \text{psi}

Why the other options are there

  • 11,494 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 2,874 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 6,322 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

Example 7
Confidence interval margin — solve for sample size — Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size (6)

A probability and statistics problem uses Confidence interval margin. Given z critical value (z) = 2.0300; std deviation (sigma) = 0.9500 in; margin of error (E) = 0.9130 in, determine the sample size (n).

Given

  • zcriticalvalue(z)=2.0300z critical value (z) = 2.0300
  • stddeviation(sigma)=0.9500instd deviation (sigma) = 0.9500 in
  • marginoferror(E)=0.9130inmargin of error (E) = 0.9130 in

Find

sample size (n)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Confidence interval margin.
  • Everything except n is given, so isolate n symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    E=zσ/nE = z \sigma / \sqrt{n}
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that n stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3 — List the givens: z critical value (z) = 2.0300, std deviation (sigma) = 0.9500 in, margin of error (E) = 0.9130 in.

  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    n=4.4617n = 4.4617
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning n = 4.4617 to

    E=zσ/nE = z \sigma / \sqrt{n}

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
n=4.4617n = 4.4617

Why the other options are there

  • 8.9233 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 2.2308 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 4.9078 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

Example 8
z-score — solve for std deviation — Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size (7)

A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 3,870 psi; value (x) = 6,760 psi; z-score (z) = -2.3400, determine the std deviation (sigma) in psi.

Given

  • mean(mu)=3,870psimean (mu) = 3,870 psi
  • value(x)=6,760psivalue (x) = 6,760 psi
  • z−score(z)=−2.3400z-score (z) = -2.3400

Find

std deviation (sigma), in psi

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
  • Everything except sigma is given, so isolate sigma symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that sigma stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:mean(mu)=3,870psi,value(x)=6,760psi,z−score(z)=−2.3400List the givens: mean (mu) = 3,870 psi, value (x) = 6,760 psi, z-score (z) = -2.3400
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    σ=−1235 psi\sigma = -1235\ \text{psi}
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning sigma = -1,235 psi to

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
σ=−1235 psi\sigma = -1235\ \text{psi}

Why the other options are there

  • -2,470 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • -617.5 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • -1,359 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

Example 9
Confidence interval margin — solve for z critical value — Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size (8)

A probability and statistics problem uses Confidence interval margin. Given std deviation (sigma) = 1.2000 in; sample size (n) = 61.0000; margin of error (E) = 0.8830 in, determine the z critical value (z).

Given

  • stddeviation(sigma)=1.2000instd deviation (sigma) = 1.2000 in
  • samplesize(n)=61.0000sample size (n) = 61.0000
  • marginoferror(E)=0.8830inmargin of error (E) = 0.8830 in

Find

z critical value (z)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Confidence interval margin.
  • Everything except z is given, so isolate z symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    E=zσ/nE = z \sigma / \sqrt{n}
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that z stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3 — List the givens: std deviation (sigma) = 1.2000 in, sample size (n) = 61.0000, margin of error (E) = 0.8830 in.

  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    z=5.7470z = 5.7470
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning z = 5.7470 to

    E=zσ/nE = z \sigma / \sqrt{n}

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
z=5.7470z = 5.7470

Why the other options are there

  • 11.4941 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 2.8735 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 6.3217 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

Example 10
z-score — solve for z-score (case 2) — Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size (9)

A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 2,500 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 510.0 psi; value (x) = 6,490 psi, determine the z-score (z).

Given

  • mean(mu)=2,500psimean (mu) = 2,500 psi
  • stddeviation(sigma)=510.0psistd deviation (sigma) = 510.0 psi
  • value(x)=6,490psivalue (x) = 6,490 psi

Find

z-score (z)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
  • Everything except z is given, so isolate z symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that z stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:mean(mu)=2,500psi,stddeviation(sigma)=510.0psi,value(x)=6,490psiList the givens: mean (mu) = 2,500 psi, std deviation (sigma) = 510.0 psi, value (x) = 6,490 psi
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    z=7.8235z = 7.8235
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning z = 7.8235 to

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
z=7.8235z = 7.8235

Why the other options are there

  • 15.6471 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 3.9118 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 8.6059 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Confidence Intervals, Sample Distributions and Sample Size

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