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Binomial Distribution

Probability and Statistics · FE Reference Handbook section

Probability and Statistics
6 formulas
10 exam-style examples
~57 min
All Probability and Statistics lectures

Handbook notes for this section

Definitions and conditions exactly as the handbook states them.

  • P(x) is the probability that x successes will occur in n trials.
  • Engineering Probability and Statistics
  • The variance is given by the form:

Core formulas for this FE topic

Definitions, applicability, units, assumptions and worked examples for each relation.

Worked exam-style examples

The four ways this section is written on the real exam — thoughts first, then equations, then substitution.

Example 1
Binomial probability of failing welds

Each weld passes inspection with probability 0.90 independently. In a lot of 8 welds, what is the probability exactly 2 fail?

Given

  • n=8n = 8
  • p(fail)=0.10p(fail) = 0.10
  • k=2k = 2

Find

P(X=2)P(X = 2)

Start with the thinking

  • Define success as the event you are counting — here, failure.
  • Use the binomial pmf, not the normal approximation, for n = 8.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Binomial pmf

    P(X=k)=C(n,k)pk(1−p)(n−k)P(X = k) = C(n,k) p^k (1 - p)^(n-k)
  2. Combinations

    C(8,2)=8!/(2!6!)=28C(8,2) = 8!/(2!6!) = 28
  3. Probability terms

    (0.10)2=0.0100and(0.90)6=0.5314(0.10)^{2} = 0.0100 and (0.90)^{6} = 0.5314
  4. Substitute

    P=28(0.0100)(0.5314)P = 28(0.0100)(0.5314)
  5. Evaluate

    P=0.149P = 0.149
Answer:
P(X=2)≈0.149P(X = 2) \approx 0.149

Why the other options are there

  • 0.0100 (combinations omitted)
  • 0.383 (P(X ≤ 2) computed)

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics — Binomial distribution

Example 2
z-score — solve for z-score — Binomial Distribution

A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 5,390 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 140.0 psi; value (x) = 3,020 psi, determine the z-score (z).

Given

  • mean(mu)=5,390psimean (mu) = 5,390 psi
  • stddeviation(sigma)=140.0psistd deviation (sigma) = 140.0 psi
  • value(x)=3,020psivalue (x) = 3,020 psi

Find

z-score (z)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
  • Everything except z is given, so isolate z symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that z stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:mean(mu)=5,390psi,stddeviation(sigma)=140.0psi,value(x)=3,020psiList the givens: mean (mu) = 5,390 psi, std deviation (sigma) = 140.0 psi, value (x) = 3,020 psi
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    z=−16.9286z = -16.9286
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning z = -16.9286 to

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
z=−16.9286z = -16.9286

Why the other options are there

  • -33.8571 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • -8.4643 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • -18.6214 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution

Example 3
Binomial mean — solve for mean — Binomial Distribution (2)

A probability and statistics problem uses Binomial mean. Given trials (n) = 100.0; success probability (p) = 0.3100, determine the mean (mu).

Given

  • trials(n)=100.0trials (n) = 100.0
  • successprobability(p)=0.3100success probability (p) = 0.3100

Find

mean (mu)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial mean.
  • Everything except mu is given, so isolate mu symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    μ=np\mu = n p
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that mu stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:trials(n)=100.0,successprobability(p)=0.3100List the givens: trials (n) = 100.0, success probability (p) = 0.3100
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    μ=31.0000\mu = 31.0000
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning mu = 31.0000 to

    μ=np\mu = n p

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
μ=31.0000\mu = 31.0000

Why the other options are there

  • 62.0000 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 15.5000 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 34.1000 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution

Example 4
Binomial distribution mean and variance — solve for mean — Binomial Distribution (3)

The binomial distribution predicts the number of failures in a batch of tests. Given number of trials (n) = 100.0; success probability (p) = 0.2700; variance (var) = 16.9200, determine the mean (mu).

Given

  • numberoftrials(n)=100.0number of trials (n) = 100.0
  • successprobability(p)=0.2700success probability (p) = 0.2700
  • variance(var)=16.9200variance (var) = 16.9200

Find

mean (mu)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial distribution mean and variance.
  • Everything except mu is given, so isolate mu symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • The binomial distribution describes the number of successes in n independent trials with probability p.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    μ=np,σ2=np(1−p)\mu = n p, \quad \sigma^2 = n p (1-p)
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange symbolically for mu:

    μ=np\mu = np
  3. Step 3 — List the givens: number of trials (n) = 100.0, success probability (p) = 0.2700, variance (var) = 16.9200.

  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values:

    μ=n0.2700\mu = n0.2700
  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    μ=27.0000\mu = 27.0000
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning mu = 27.0000 to

    μ=np,σ2=np(1−p)\mu = n p, \quad \sigma^2 = n p (1-p)

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
μ=27.0000\mu = 27.0000

Why the other options are there

  • 54.0000 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 13.5000 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 29.7000 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Handbook — Binomial

Example 5
z-score — solve for value — Binomial Distribution (4)

A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 4,500 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 400.0 psi; z-score (z) = -1.6600, determine the value (x) in psi.

Given

  • mean(mu)=4,500psimean (mu) = 4,500 psi
  • stddeviation(sigma)=400.0psistd deviation (sigma) = 400.0 psi
  • z−score(z)=−1.6600z-score (z) = -1.6600

Find

value (x), in psi

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
  • Everything except x is given, so isolate x symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that x stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:mean(mu)=4,500psi,stddeviation(sigma)=400.0psi,z−score(z)=−1.6600List the givens: mean (mu) = 4,500 psi, std deviation (sigma) = 400.0 psi, z-score (z) = -1.6600
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    x=3836 psix = 3836\ \text{psi}
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning x = 3,836 psi to

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
x=3836 psix = 3836\ \text{psi}

Why the other options are there

  • 7,672 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 1,918 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 4,220 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution

Example 6
Binomial mean — solve for trials — Binomial Distribution (5)

A probability and statistics problem uses Binomial mean. Given success probability (p) = 0.2800; mean (mu) = 60.5000, determine the trials (n).

Given

  • successprobability(p)=0.2800success probability (p) = 0.2800
  • mean(mu)=60.5000mean (mu) = 60.5000

Find

trials (n)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial mean.
  • Everything except n is given, so isolate n symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    μ=np\mu = n p
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that n stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:successprobability(p)=0.2800,mean(mu)=60.5000List the givens: success probability (p) = 0.2800, mean (mu) = 60.5000
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    n=216.1n = 216.1
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning n = 216.1 to

    μ=np\mu = n p

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
n=216.1n = 216.1

Why the other options are there

  • 432.1 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 108.0 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 237.7 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution

Example 7
Binomial distribution mean and variance — solve for variance — Binomial Distribution (6)

An engineer models the binomial distribution of defective parts in a lot. Given number of trials (n) = 134.0; success probability (p) = 0.8200; mean (mu) = 32.5000, determine the variance (var).

Given

  • numberoftrials(n)=134.0number of trials (n) = 134.0
  • successprobability(p)=0.8200success probability (p) = 0.8200
  • mean(mu)=32.5000mean (mu) = 32.5000

Find

variance (var)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial distribution mean and variance.
  • Everything except var is given, so isolate var symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • The binomial distribution describes the number of successes in n independent trials with probability p.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    μ=np,σ2=np(1−p)\mu = n p, \quad \sigma^2 = n p (1-p)
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange symbolically for var:

    var=np(1−p)var = np(1-p)
  3. Step 3 — List the givens: number of trials (n) = 134.0, success probability (p) = 0.8200, mean (mu) = 32.5000.

  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values:

    var=n0.8200(1−0.8200)var = n0.8200(1-0.8200)
  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    var=19.7784var = 19.7784
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning var = 19.7784 to

    μ=np,σ2=np(1−p)\mu = n p, \quad \sigma^2 = n p (1-p)

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
var=19.7784var = 19.7784

Why the other options are there

  • 39.5568 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 9.8892 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 21.7562 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Handbook — Binomial

Example 8
z-score — solve for mean — Binomial Distribution (7)

A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given std deviation (sigma) = 230.0 psi; value (x) = 4,000 psi; z-score (z) = -1.3100, determine the mean (mu) in psi.

Given

  • stddeviation(sigma)=230.0psistd deviation (sigma) = 230.0 psi
  • value(x)=4,000psivalue (x) = 4,000 psi
  • z−score(z)=−1.3100z-score (z) = -1.3100

Find

mean (mu), in psi

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
  • Everything except mu is given, so isolate mu symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that mu stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:stddeviation(sigma)=230.0psi,value(x)=4,000psi,z−score(z)=−1.3100List the givens: std deviation (sigma) = 230.0 psi, value (x) = 4,000 psi, z-score (z) = -1.3100
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    μ=4301 psi\mu = 4301\ \text{psi}
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning mu = 4,301 psi to

    z=(x−μ)/σz = (x - \mu) / \sigma

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
μ=4301 psi\mu = 4301\ \text{psi}

Why the other options are there

  • 8,603 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 2,151 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 4,731 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution

Example 9
Binomial mean — solve for success probability — Binomial Distribution (8)

A probability and statistics problem uses Binomial mean. Given trials (n) = 168.0; mean (mu) = 6.1000, determine the success probability (p).

Given

  • trials(n)=168.0trials (n) = 168.0
  • mean(mu)=6.1000mean (mu) = 6.1000

Find

success probability (p)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial mean.
  • Everything except p is given, so isolate p symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    μ=np\mu = n p
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that p stands alone on the left-hand side.

  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:trials(n)=168.0,mean(mu)=6.1000List the givens: trials (n) = 168.0, mean (mu) = 6.1000
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.

  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    p=0.0363p = 0.0363
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning p = 0.0363 to

    μ=np\mu = n p

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
p=0.0363p = 0.0363

Why the other options are there

  • 0.0726 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 0.0182 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 0.0399 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution

Example 10
Binomial distribution mean and variance — solve for number of trials — Binomial Distribution (9)

A student computes the mean and variance of a binomial distribution. Given success probability (p) = 0.1800; mean (mu) = 126.9; variance (var) = 1.8700, determine the number of trials (n).

Given

  • successprobability(p)=0.1800success probability (p) = 0.1800
  • mean(mu)=126.9mean (mu) = 126.9
  • variance(var)=1.8700variance (var) = 1.8700

Find

number of trials (n)

Start with the thinking

  • The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial distribution mean and variance.
  • Everything except n is given, so isolate n symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
  • Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
  • The binomial distribution describes the number of successes in n independent trials with probability p.

Step-by-step solution

  1. Step 1 — State the governing relation:

    μ=np,σ2=np(1−p)\mu = n p, \quad \sigma^2 = n p (1-p)
  2. Step 2 — Rearrange symbolically for n:

    n=μpn = \dfrac{\mu}{p}
  3. Step 3

    Listthegivens:successprobability(p)=0.1800,mean(mu)=126.9,variance(var)=1.8700List the givens: success probability (p) = 0.1800, mean (mu) = 126.9, variance (var) = 1.8700
  4. Step 4 — Substitute the given values:

    n=126.90.1800n = \dfrac{126.9}{0.1800}
  5. Step 5 — Evaluate:

    n=705.0n = 705.0
  6. Step 6 — Check: returning n = 705.0 to

    μ=np,σ2=np(1−p)\mu = n p, \quad \sigma^2 = n p (1-p)

    reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.

Answer:
n=705.0n = 705.0

Why the other options are there

  • 1,410 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
  • 352.5 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
  • 775.5 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.

Reference: FE Handbook — Binomial

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