Binomial Distribution
Probability and Statistics · FE Reference Handbook section
Handbook notes for this section
Definitions and conditions exactly as the handbook states them.
- P(x) is the probability that x successes will occur in n trials.
- Engineering Probability and Statistics
- The variance is given by the form:
Core formulas for this FE topic
Definitions, applicability, units, assumptions and worked examples for each relation.
Worked exam-style examples
The four ways this section is written on the real exam — thoughts first, then equations, then substitution.
Each weld passes inspection with probability 0.90 independently. In a lot of 8 welds, what is the probability exactly 2 fail?
Given
Find
Start with the thinking
- Define success as the event you are counting — here, failure.
- Use the binomial pmf, not the normal approximation, for n = 8.
Step-by-step solution
Binomial pmf
Combinations
Probability terms
Substitute
Evaluate
Why the other options are there
- 0.0100 (combinations omitted)
- 0.383 (P(X ≤ 2) computed)
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics — Binomial distribution
A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 5,390 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 140.0 psi; value (x) = 3,020 psi, determine the z-score (z).
Given
Find
z-score (z)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
- Everything except z is given, so isolate z symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that z stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning z = -16.9286 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- -33.8571 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- -8.4643 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- -18.6214 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution
A probability and statistics problem uses Binomial mean. Given trials (n) = 100.0; success probability (p) = 0.3100, determine the mean (mu).
Given
Find
mean (mu)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial mean.
- Everything except mu is given, so isolate mu symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that mu stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning mu = 31.0000 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 62.0000 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 15.5000 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 34.1000 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution
The binomial distribution predicts the number of failures in a batch of tests. Given number of trials (n) = 100.0; success probability (p) = 0.2700; variance (var) = 16.9200, determine the mean (mu).
Given
Find
mean (mu)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial distribution mean and variance.
- Everything except mu is given, so isolate mu symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- The binomial distribution describes the number of successes in n independent trials with probability p.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange symbolically for mu:
Step 3 — List the givens: number of trials (n) = 100.0, success probability (p) = 0.2700, variance (var) = 16.9200.
Step 4 — Substitute the given values:
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning mu = 27.0000 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 54.0000 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 13.5000 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 29.7000 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Handbook — Binomial
A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given mean (mu) = 4,500 psi; std deviation (sigma) = 400.0 psi; z-score (z) = -1.6600, determine the value (x) in psi.
Given
Find
value (x), in psi
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
- Everything except x is given, so isolate x symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that x stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning x = 3,836 psi to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 7,672 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 1,918 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 4,220 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution
A probability and statistics problem uses Binomial mean. Given success probability (p) = 0.2800; mean (mu) = 60.5000, determine the trials (n).
Given
Find
trials (n)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial mean.
- Everything except n is given, so isolate n symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that n stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning n = 216.1 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 432.1 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 108.0 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 237.7 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution
An engineer models the binomial distribution of defective parts in a lot. Given number of trials (n) = 134.0; success probability (p) = 0.8200; mean (mu) = 32.5000, determine the variance (var).
Given
Find
variance (var)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial distribution mean and variance.
- Everything except var is given, so isolate var symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- The binomial distribution describes the number of successes in n independent trials with probability p.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange symbolically for var:
Step 3 — List the givens: number of trials (n) = 134.0, success probability (p) = 0.8200, mean (mu) = 32.5000.
Step 4 — Substitute the given values:
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning var = 19.7784 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 39.5568 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 9.8892 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 21.7562 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Handbook — Binomial
A probability and statistics problem uses z-score. Given std deviation (sigma) = 230.0 psi; value (x) = 4,000 psi; z-score (z) = -1.3100, determine the mean (mu) in psi.
Given
Find
mean (mu), in psi
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is z-score.
- Everything except mu is given, so isolate mu symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that mu stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning mu = 4,301 psi to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 8,603 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 2,151 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 4,731 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution
A probability and statistics problem uses Binomial mean. Given trials (n) = 168.0; mean (mu) = 6.1000, determine the success probability (p).
Given
Find
success probability (p)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial mean.
- Everything except p is given, so isolate p symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- Probability and Statistics items reward recognising the unknown before touching a calculator.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange the relation so that p stands alone on the left-hand side.
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values into the rearranged relation.
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning p = 0.0363 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 0.0726 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 0.0182 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 0.0399 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Reference Handbook — Probability and Statistics → Binomial Distribution
A student computes the mean and variance of a binomial distribution. Given success probability (p) = 0.1800; mean (mu) = 126.9; variance (var) = 1.8700, determine the number of trials (n).
Given
Find
number of trials (n)
Start with the thinking
- The governing relation printed in this handbook section is Binomial distribution mean and variance.
- Everything except n is given, so isolate n symbolically first — never rearrange after the numbers are in.
- Tabulate each given with its unit and confirm the units are consistent with the relation before substituting.
- The binomial distribution describes the number of successes in n independent trials with probability p.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1 — State the governing relation:
Step 2 — Rearrange symbolically for n:
Step 3
Step 4 — Substitute the given values:
Step 5 — Evaluate:
Step 6 — Check: returning n = 705.0 to
reproduces the given quantities, and both sides carry the same units.
Why the other options are there
- 1,410 — kept a factor of two that cancels in the correct rearrangement.
- 352.5 — dropped that same factor in the other direction.
- 775.5 — rounded an intermediate value before the final step.
Reference: FE Handbook — Binomial